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What the polls tell us about Harris and Trump

Kamala Harris: A Democrat Honeymoon in the Embarrassing Moment of the U.S. Presidential Election

The first is the party unity she enjoys by virtue of being the presumptive nominee without having had to endure a bruising Democratic primary battle. I’ve described this as the equivalent of a video game cheat code that lets you skip past some difficult but tedious early levels on the way to directly fighting the big bad boss at the end of the game. Harris doesn’t have to spend last year bashing her Democratic competitors in order to win the presidency, almost certainly including some who are now considered to be her vice-presidential nominee. While some of the out of-the-mainstream views that Ms. Harris used in her unsuccessful presidential run will be part of her agenda in this election, she should be able to navigate some of the issues that divide the Democratic Party.

Whatever your feelings are about Donald Trump as a candidate, the pollster Tony Fabrizio, a top adviser for all of Mr. Trump’s presidential campaigns, knows his business. He saw a way for Trump to win the election over Clinton. It is sensible to take polling memos with a grain of salt, but if Mr. Fabrizio puts one out, I take it seriously.

So when he warned last week of a “Harris Honeymoon” as Democrats were rallying around the vice president, I knew it was only a matter of time before the public polls would show what the Trump campaign was likely seeing privately. A New York Times/Siena College poll showed the race narrowing to a one-point Trump advantage over the Vice President in many parts of the country, a huge shift from a prior Times poll which showed Mr. Trump ahead of President.

The first person I met in the long line for Kamala Harris’s rally in Atlanta on Tuesday was Tomorrow Wright, a pre-K teacher who hadn’t been planning to vote when Joe Biden was still the Democratic candidate.

“Biden and Trump, I wasn’t with neither one of them,” she said, adding that Biden had disappointed her by not doing more to cancel student loan debt. She waited until midday for her first ever campaign rally, which would start at sundown, under a pink umbrella.

Most of the other people I talked to said they were going to vote for Biden. Many told me they could not do much more for him because of the energy on the ground.

Tammy Clabby, a long time activist for the Democratic Party, said that she couldn’t go to campaign since she had already been campaigning. “How could I tell a young person to vote for Joe Biden when he couldn’t finish a sentence in that debate?” Harris’s ascension, however, changed everything. The vibe is similar to Barack Obama’s first run.

It was an analogy that I heard many times during the ebullient rally, which felt like a dancing party and not just when Megan Thee Stallion was performing. All the Democrats’ fervent yearning for a fighter to take on Trump, their desperate hope for hope, has converged on a woman who until just weeks ago was regularly overlooked and underestimated.

Some conservatives seem bewildered by their sudden change in fortunes and think that the Democratic enthusiasm for Harris is a media psy-op.

Is it possible to completely make a cultural phenomenon out of taking a vapid, left leaning San Francisco Democrat and making her into something that she is not through constant gaslighting? The Florida governor wrote on social media.